Syzygy Analytics
- Football analytics with a strong focus towards team performance ratings
- Betting Previews
- Team Performance Reviews
Category: Uncategorized
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This week I have done some analysis looking at the performance of teams’ home and away. I want to test whether some grounds really are fortresses and some teams do better than expected when playing away. This is a separate conversation to home advantage which is an ever present and significant factor in every professional…
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Today I am recording some points projections for 7 different leagues using up to 4 different methods. All 7 leagues are around 30% complete so let’s see at the end of the season which method predicts the remaining 70% the best! *To be notified of future posts please consider subscribing by inputting your email address…
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This week I’m just looking at some more data on games states and xG from understat.com. 10 League Analysis I want to further investigate the question of whether goals are converted more readily than xG would imply in different game states. Adding up xG data from understat.com and using data from whoscored.com (Opta), I made…
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Welcome to my blog, today I’m briefly covering 3 different topics of interest on fixture adjustments, Premier League predictions and score effects. How many iterations does a fixture adjustment need? When attempted to rate a team accurately to create forecasts we are faced with a circular problem. Our output will hopefully be accurate team ratings,…
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Last week I went through the last 10 years of home advantage in the top 5 European leagues and showed a surprising decline in home advantage last season. I’ve done more analysis using a more detailed calculation for home advantage (using shots instead of just goals) and found that last year just looks like an…
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Home field advantage (HFA) is a well-known concept present in most sports, but it contains certain aspects of mystery. While understanding the overall magnitude is trivial with some research, understanding the magnitude of all the contributing factors is not. The way in which HFA changes over time may give us some clues. The following is…
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In this article I am going to share my projections for the Premier League season and compare them to the projections of other popular sites. We can check back at the end of the season to compare how each projection performed! Figure 1 Notable teams Fulham and Leeds stand out as my 2 favoured teams. …
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6 gameweeks in – that’s enough for my ratings to work fairly well so let’s make see how League two is shaping up for the season: Light yellow highlight = Relegated from 2024/25 League 1 Light blue highlight = Promoted from 2024/25 National League Points of interest Similar to League 1 I want to check…
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6 gameweeks in – that’s enough for my ratings to work fairly well so let’s make see how League 1 is shaping up for the season: Table 1 Light yellow highlight = Relegated from the 2024/25 Championship Light blue highlight = Promoted from 2024/25 League 1 Points of interest For fun I’m going to compare…