Unfortunately, a bad weekend last time out where a lot of my line predictions were wrong (I did a PL week 27 preview).  A lot of it was bad line-up news but that couldn’t explain all of the error.  More work needed! In today’s quick post we are going to consider whether teams can perform…

Last time I did this for week 25 my predicted prices were a little less accurate than the early prices.  The biggest miss was Manchester City as money came in for Liverpool.  By kick off these teams lined up as approximately equal strength.  It seems like Doku & Gvardiol are seen as important and maybe…

Introduction This week I’m want to test a variety of different metrics to compare their predictive power.  I have always focused on the predictive and I think providing value as an analyst is almost solely a function of predictive analysis than descriptive.  For this reason I am less interested in a descriptive idea such as…

This week I am writing down my thoughts on week 25 of the Premier League.  My goal is to beat the closing lines, so let’s try and nail down what I think the true price for every game should be!  I am working on the assumption that the closing price = the true price. Leeds…