Syzygy Analytics
- Football analytics with a strong focus towards team performance ratings
- Betting Previews
- Team Performance Reviews
recent posts
- Squad value comparisons using Transfermarkt.com
- Premier League thoughts on all 20 teams
- Are some grounds fortresses? Do some teams prefer to play away?
- Points Projections for 8 different leagues during the 2025 November International Break
- More notes on game state and xG (Understat.com)
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6 gameweeks in – that’s enough for my ratings to work fairly well so let’s make see how League two is shaping up for the season: Light yellow highlight = Relegated from 2024/25 League 1 Light blue highlight = Promoted from 2024/25 National League Points of interest Similar to League 1 I want to check…
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6 gameweeks in – that’s enough for my ratings to work fairly well so let’s make see how League 1 is shaping up for the season: Table 1 Light yellow highlight = Relegated from the 2024/25 Championship Light blue highlight = Promoted from 2024/25 League 1 Points of interest For fun I’m going to compare…
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2 weeks in and the competitiveness of the Premier League is at an all time high. There have been some surprising performances by teams (Arsenal vs. Manchester United and Newcastle vs. Liverpool stand out) so far this season which results in some mixed-up performance ratings for each team’s first 2 games (see the light grey…
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Charlotte vs. New York Red Bulls With Agyemang sold and Biel injured, I have NYRBs as a good bet not to lose here. Charlotte FC is on a 6 game win streak but I think it’s sure to end soon and hopefully this is the game. Seattle Sounders vs. Sporting Kansas City Showing as a…
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The MLS season begins to approach the ‘run-in’ (8 full gameweeks left) and the conferences are close and exciting. It looks possible the top of each conference will become even tighter as some of the teams that are currently adrift have strong underlying performances. The ‘Next lineup strength column’ is used for my betting predictions…
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In this series of articles, I am going to be analysis the effects of game-state in football. I am going to consider In this first part I am looking at how goal difference is affected by game state. Introduction I suspect game state complicates our goal of accurately assessing a team’s performance. We need to…
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Introduction In the first part we looked at how goal scoring is affected by game state and found out that leading teams/trailing teams perform worse/better than would be expected respectively. In this part we are going to look beyond goals and consider shots and xG. To start it will be illuminating to discover what effect…
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Inspired by a betting article from Ted Knutson at thetransferflow.com I’m now comparing my goal handicap line to that of the betting market. Check out my team ratings here: Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City I didn’t see enough in this for a bet but then there was money for Orlando today. Hmm. Now I have…
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These are my estimates of true odds for this weekend’s matches. I’ve had a good couple of weeks with plenty of lines moving in my favour (sorry I didn’t post mid-week). I’m not very confident about DC United, I’m not sure about their team (Benteke out?) and longer prices inflates the ROI. (I’ll work on…
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