Category: Uncategorized

  • This is how I have priced up all the weekends matches in MLS.  They are my most inclusive ratings yet and even consider the predicted lineups of each time.  Keep an eye on this site as I am in the process of writing more about my analytical ideas. My main bet will be Seattle.  Kansas…

  • Let’s look ahead to the MLS games this weekend.    The following odds are my derived “true odds” for each match using performances from every game this season. I will consider extra factors on a game by game basis. I am going to compare my dnb price of the home team to the market (on…

  • Introduction In this article I am going to consider the topic of fixture adjusting.  All fans will know that teams are likely to perform better against opposition that is ranked lower in the table and vice versa.  This blog is all about the predictive and we don’t want our ratings of a team to be…

  • Since I started working on my soccer team ratings around 9 years ago, my goal has been to make my rating system as predictive as possible.  xG models are popular because they contain useful descriptive information as well as being more predictive than simpler metrics such as goal difference/points/shot ratio. For a rating to be…