Syzygy Analytics
- Football analytics with a strong focus towards team performance ratings
- Betting Previews
- Team Performance Reviews
recent posts
- Squad value comparisons using Transfermarkt.com
- Premier League thoughts on all 20 teams
- Are some grounds fortresses? Do some teams prefer to play away?
- Points Projections for 8 different leagues during the 2025 November International Break
- More notes on game state and xG (Understat.com)
about
Month: July 2025
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Introduction In the first part we looked at how goal scoring is affected by game state and found out that leading teams/trailing teams perform worse/better than would be expected respectively. In this part we are going to look beyond goals and consider shots and xG. To start it will be illuminating to discover what effect…
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Inspired by a betting article from Ted Knutson at thetransferflow.com I’m now comparing my goal handicap line to that of the betting market. Check out my team ratings here: Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City I didn’t see enough in this for a bet but then there was money for Orlando today. Hmm. Now I have…
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These are my estimates of true odds for this weekend’s matches. I’ve had a good couple of weeks with plenty of lines moving in my favour (sorry I didn’t post mid-week). I’m not very confident about DC United, I’m not sure about their team (Benteke out?) and longer prices inflates the ROI. (I’ll work on…
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This is how I have priced up all the weekends matches in MLS. They are my most inclusive ratings yet and even consider the predicted lineups of each time. Keep an eye on this site as I am in the process of writing more about my analytical ideas. My main bet will be Seattle. Kansas…
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Let’s look ahead to the MLS games this weekend. The following odds are my derived “true odds” for each match using performances from every game this season. I will consider extra factors on a game by game basis. I am going to compare my dnb price of the home team to the market (on…
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