Month: November 2025

  • This week I have done some analysis looking at the performance of teams’ home and away.  I want to test whether some grounds really are fortresses and some teams do better than expected when playing away. This is a separate conversation to home advantage which is an ever present and significant factor in every professional…

  • Today I am recording some points projections for 7 different leagues using up to 4 different methods.  All 7 leagues are around 30% complete so let’s see at the end of the season which method predicts the remaining 70% the best!  *To be notified of future posts please consider subscribing by inputting your email address…

  • This week I’m just looking at some more data on games states and xG from understat.com. 10 League Analysis I want to further investigate the question of whether goals are converted more readily than xG would imply in different game states.  Adding up xG data from understat.com and using data from whoscored.com (Opta), I made…