Month: September 2025

  • Home field advantage (HFA) is a well-known concept present in most sports, but it contains certain aspects of mystery.  While understanding the overall magnitude is trivial with some research, understanding the magnitude of all the contributing factors is not. The way in which HFA changes over time may give us some clues. The following is…

  • In this article I am going to share my projections for the Premier League season and compare them to the projections of other popular sites.  We can check back at the end of the season to compare how each projection performed! Figure 1 Notable teams Fulham and Leeds stand out as my 2 favoured teams. …

  • The season may be young but in betting, and life in general, we don’t always have the luxury of waiting for big sample sizes before making decisions.  Let’s look at 2 teams that have captured my attention so far. Tottenham Hotspur Of all the established teams in the Premier League this season, I think accurately…

  • 6 gameweeks in – that’s enough for my ratings to work fairly well so let’s make see how League two is shaping up for the season:  Light yellow highlight = Relegated from 2024/25 League 1 Light blue highlight = Promoted from 2024/25 National League Points of interest Similar to League 1 I want to check…

  • 6 gameweeks in – that’s enough for my ratings to work fairly well so let’s make see how League 1 is shaping up for the season:  Table 1 Light yellow highlight = Relegated from the 2024/25 Championship Light blue highlight = Promoted from 2024/25 League 1 Points of interest For fun I’m going to compare…